顆粒在線訊：據(jù)美國鉆井網(wǎng)站2022年4月8日報道，全球著名市場研究和咨詢公司Future Market Insights發(fā)表的綠色氨市場報告表明，未來十年，全球綠色氨市場預(yù)計將以驚人的90%的速度發(fā)展，在2030年前將達到54億美元。

對綠色氨市場的研究發(fā)現(xiàn)，由于投資增加和發(fā)電成本降低，太陽能和風(fēng)能的發(fā)展速度高于其他可再生能源。

根據(jù)《2020年全球可再生能源展望》報告，向可再生能源、生產(chǎn)力和自動化的轉(zhuǎn)變將推動社會經(jīng)濟發(fā)展。 因此，不斷上升的綠色氨產(chǎn)量和潛在的儲存需求將推動綠色氨市場的發(fā)展。  

到2028年底前，歐洲綠色氨市場預(yù)計將擁有全球最大的市場份額，產(chǎn)生5.5803億美元的收入，高于2019年的749萬美元，這得益于2022-2032年預(yù)測期間的65.37%的估計復(fù)合年增長率。 亞太地區(qū)預(yù)計將占據(jù)全球第二大市場份額，收入潛力為1.9069億美元。

就單個國家而言，荷蘭可能到2028年擁有最大的市場收入，達到2.712億美元，而德國市場收入預(yù)計在預(yù)測期間將以最快的速度增長86.35%。

綠色氨廠的資本密集型性質(zhì)是市場發(fā)展的主要障礙。 除非可再生能源和電解槽的成本進一步下降，否則一般的合成氨制造商將無法從傳統(tǒng)的合成氨生產(chǎn)轉(zhuǎn)向綠色合成氨生產(chǎn)。

海洋經(jīng)濟產(chǎn)業(yè)正在發(fā)生重大變革。 航運業(yè)正面臨著通過轉(zhuǎn)向清潔能源來減少排放的壓力，這可能是綠色氨生產(chǎn)商獲得更多收入的途徑。

以技術(shù)為基礎(chǔ)，綠色氨市場可以細分為堿性水電解、質(zhì)子交換膜電解、固體氧化物電解。 在這些綠色氨技術(shù)領(lǐng)域中，到2028年底前，固體氧化物電解領(lǐng)域預(yù)計將保持最大的市場收入，從2019年的789萬美元增加到4.9638億美元。 歐洲也將是最大的市場，到2028年將達到3.2367億美元。  

根據(jù)預(yù)測期間的綠色氨市場趨勢，荷蘭的堿性水電解領(lǐng)域預(yù)計將以57.2%的最高增長率增長。  

采用綠色氨的主要問題是化學(xué)品制造商缺乏意識。 在綠色氨生產(chǎn)工藝方面，中國、日本的大型化工企業(yè)繼續(xù)采用天然氣蒸汽甲烷化技術(shù)。 隨著電解技術(shù)知識的增加和可再生能源發(fā)電成本的降低，綠色氨市場很可能在整個預(yù)測期間上升。

報告說，“21世紀實現(xiàn)增長和環(huán)境友好雙重關(guān)注的秘訣就是綠色氨。 通過改用可再生能源發(fā)電來生產(chǎn)氨，僅在歐洲就可減少約4000萬噸二氧化碳的排放，在全球范圍內(nèi)可減少超過3.6億噸二氧化碳的排放。 因此，綠色氨市場前景廣闊，利潤豐厚。”

李峻 編譯自 美國鉆井網(wǎng)站

原文如下：

Green Ammonia Market to Reach $5.4B By 2030, Report Says

The green ammonia market is anticipated to advance at a phenomenal rate of 90 percent over the next decade, according to the Green Ammonia Market report by Future Market Insights.

The study on the green ammonia market finds that solar and wind energy have advanced at a higher pace than other renewable energy, thanks to rising investment and reduced power generation costs.

The switch to renewables, productivity, and automation, as per the Global Renewables Outlook 2020, will drive socioeconomic development. Therefore, rising green ammonia production and underlying storage requirements will push the green ammonia market forward.

By the end of 2028, the European green ammonia market is expected to have the largest market share and generate revenue of $558.03 million, up from $7.49 million in 2019, thanks to an estimated CAGR of 65.37 percent over the forecast period of 2022-2032. Asia Pacific is expected to hold the second-largest market share, with a revenue potential of $190.69 million.

As for individual countries, The Netherlands is likely to have the largest market revenue of $227.12 million in 2028, while Germany's market is expected to grow at the fastest rate of 86.35 percent over the forecast period.

The capital-intensive nature of green ammonia plants is a major hindrance to the market's advancement. General ammonia manufacturers will not be able to move from traditional ammonia production to green ammonia production unless the cost of renewable energy and electrolyzers drops further.

The marine industry is undergoing a major transformation. The maritime industry is under pressure to reduce emissions by switching to cleaner energy sources, which is likely to be a pathway for green ammonia producers to capture more revenue.

The green ammonia market is segmented based on technology into alkaline water electrolysis, proton exchange membrane, and solid oxide electrolysis. Amongst these green ammonia technology segments, the solid oxide electrolysis segment is anticipated to hold the largest market revenue of $496.38 million by the end of 2028, up from $7.89 million in 2019. Europe will be the largest market for this as well with $323.67 million in 2028.

As per the green ammonia market trends during the forecast period, the alkaline water electrolysis segment in the Netherlands is expected to grow at the highest rate of 57.2 percent.

The main problem with the adoption of green ammonia is a lack of awareness among chemical manufacturers. For the green ammonia production process, the largest chemical companies in China, Japan, and Russia continue to use natural gas steam methanation technology. With increased knowledge of electrolysis technology and lower costs of renewable energy generation, the market for green ammonia is likely to rise throughout the forecast period.

“The secret to meeting the dual concerns of growth and environment-friendliness of the twenty-first century is green ammonia. By switching to renewable electricity to make ammonia, CO2 emission of about 40 million tons of CO2 can be curbed in Europe alone and over 360 million tons worldwide. As a result, the green ammonia market prospect is high and lucrative,” said the research analyst.